Half the S&P 500 is trading below its 200-day moving average while the index sits near its highs. A handful of enormous companies are carrying everybody else, and that’s a different thing from owning 500 of them.

The Dow just posted its worst 10-day start to September since 2008, and financial media is treating it like an omen. Chris Johnson breaks down 20 years of seasonality data showing what typically happens next, and why sentiment, not price, may be the number that matters most right now.

The Fed’s decision is at 2pm today. If rates go up and this market sells off, that’s not a problem for what I do. A falling market hands me more opportunities, not fewer. I’m going live at 2pm, the same moment the decision lands.

A team of MIT students took the casinos for more than $3 million by counting what was left in the deck. I spent three years finding out whether the same idea works on stocks that have been down four days in a row.

Analysis paralysis is real. There are too many indicators on the screen to read it plainly. Chris Johnson breaks down the simpler read hiding in plain sight: counting consecutive down days to spot the setup behind what Bryan Bottarelli calls a Flash Rally, and why knowing when the streak breaks matters more than counting it.

Two AI executives talked over the weekend, and the semiconductor complex opened red. Nate’s buying into it. Plus a 13-year-old video game with no development costs left, and the one thing Bryan is doing Wednesday that nobody saw coming.

The rate hike is priced at 90%. But the decision isn’t the event. What the market does in the two days after it decides the tone between here and the midterms.

I recommended put options on the Nasdaq 100 the day before the towers fell. What happened over the six weeks that followed became the framework for a method I still use 25 years later.

Quantum stocks are down for the quarter, but a closer look shows the group trading well above its 52-week lows and catching a bid even on a “risk-off” day. Chris Johnson breaks down the technical level that could decide the next leg higher, and why he’s watching for the breakout instead of chasing it.

Moderna traded under $30 last year. Nuclear spent a decade as a punchline. Gold did nothing through the entire zero-rate era. Every idea on this week’s list is something the market gave up on.

Skyworks, Cirrus Logic and Broadcom weren’t in the room when Steve Jobs unveiled the first iPhone. They still out-returned Apple by a mile. Now Elon Musk is quietly assembling the pieces of a phone of his own, and the company set to supply it is still a $3 stock.

Kodak, Xerox and Blockbuster didn’t miss the future. They held it, looked at it, and chose the business that was already paying them. The reason should worry you about what you own now.